Match Info

J3 League - Round 37

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.2	2.78	Watch
	2.34	3.42	2.80	Watch
	2.34	3.13	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)	3.25 ↓ (3.42)	2.8 (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
39.3%

Draw
28.1%

Matsumoto Yamaga
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Je-hee (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 37. Sehata G. 4. Funabashi Y. 36. Adachi S. 27. Fujimura R. 49. Kotake S. 11. Kagami T. 7. Nishimura Y.	1. Ouchi I. (G) 36. Matsumura G. 44. Nonomura T. 16. Miyabe T. 24. Ogawa D. 18. Ohashi H. 46. Yasunaga R. 40. Higuchi D. 20. Maeda R. 41. Murakoshi K. 14. Ando T.
Substitutes
15. Kazama K. 14. Kikuchi K. 13. Kondo I. (G) 38. Konishi H. 30. Koyanagi T. 19. Mohamado F. 48. Nakashima T. 18. Tanaka S. 6. Yonehara S.	43. Hayashi M. 35. Kanda S. (G) 25. Kawakami K. 7. Mawatari K. 22. Saso K. 19. Sugita H. 23. Taki Y. 42. Tanaka S. 15. Yamamoto K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Kotake S. ⚽, Fujimura R. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Nishimura Y. ⚽, Fujimura R. (A),
20', 2 - 1, Ando T. ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, Yasunaga R. ⚽, Ando T. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Maeda R. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
55', 3 - 2, Kotake S. ⚽,
64', Fujimura R. ↓, Kikuchi K. ↑,
65', Kagami T. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
67', Ogawa D. ↓, Mawatari K. ↑,
67', Ando T. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
70', 4 - 2, Nishimura Y. ⚽, Adachi S. (A),
73', Adachi S. 🟨,
77', Kotake S. ↓, Mohamado F. ↑,
77', Nishimura Y. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,
78', Ohashi H. ↓, Yamamoto K. ↑,
78', Matsumura G. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
85', Funabashi Y. ↓, Yonehara S. ↑,
89', 5 - 2, Takahashi Y. ⚽, Adachi S. (A),
90+6', Kikuchi K. 🟨,
90+8', 6 - 2, Mohamado F. ⚽, Yonehara S. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 3.

Thespakusatsu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Matsumoto Yamaga is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Thespakusatsu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Thespakusatsu Gunma - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
16.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWWL
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
16.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Kochi United - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Kagoshima United - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
05.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3
Japan J2 League
30.10.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
25.04.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0
02.12.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
19.07.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0
16.09.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:0
18.06.17	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2

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