Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 12

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium (Kochi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Kochi United		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	3.45	3.05	2
	3.67	3.27	2.06
	3.61	3.4	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.25	1.95
	3.38	3.43	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kochi United
26.2%

Draw
28.1%

Tokushima Vortis
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.3%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kochi United - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokushima Vortis will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Inose K. (G) 3. Fukumiya K. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 16. Kozuki S. 8. Takano Y. 14. Sekino G. 88. Hama T. 10. Sasaki T. 11. Miyoshi R. 9. Shintani M.	1. Nagaishi T. (G) 4. Kaique 3. Yamada N. 44. Yamaguchi T. 8. Iwao K. 22. Yanagisawa K. 7. Kodama S. 10. Sugimoto T. 19. Miyazaki J. 11. Lucas Barcelos 9. Thonny Anderson
Substitutes
18. Aoto K. 33. Cho H. 5. Fukagawa D. 7. Kanehara A. 13. Kawata A. 23. Matsumoto D. 99. Murata Y. (G) 73. Tanaka T.	31. Hasegawa T. (G) 27. Izuchukwu L. 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 20. Matsuda K. 97. Moyo M. 55. Shigehiro T. 24. Takada S. 42. Takagi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Miyazaki J. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Miyoshi R. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Kawata A. ⚽,
49', 1 - 1, Kaique ⚽, Thonny Anderson (A),
53', Sekino G. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
61', Sugimoto T. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
62', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Shintani M. ⚽, Hama T. (A),
77', Thonny Anderson ↓, Takada S. ↑,
77', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
83', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
88', Shintani M. ↓, Aoto K. ↑,
90', Fujimori R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Kochi United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tokushima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kochi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tokushima is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kochi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tokushima Vortis - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kochi United
Japan J2 J3 League
19.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Kochi United	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Kochi United - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Kochi United - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tokushima Vortis - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ehime - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 J3 League
18.04.26	Tokushima Vortis - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tokushima Vortis	0:5 ✺
05.04.26	Tokushima Vortis - Osaka	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tokushima Vortis - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
29.03.26	Tokushima Vortis - Kochi United	3:0
Japan Emperors Cup
09.06.21	Tokushima Vortis - Kochi United	2:1

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