Match Info

NM Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	NRK 3


	Kongsvinger		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.95
	3.4	3.75	2	Watch
	3.5	3.91	2.02
	3.32	3.79	2	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.62
	3.49	3.73	1.94
	3.4	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.8)	3.8 ↓ (4.4)	1.93 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
26.3%

Draw
24.9%

Rosenborg
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

20.2%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

19.8%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger's performance.

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kongsvinger - Rosenborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 2. Nilsson J. 3. Saathof P. 12. Mbow M. 19. Nielsen E. 7. Taylor E. 6. Holter H. 27. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 18. Holtan J. 11. Williams N.	1. Tangvik S. (G) 15. Mortensen J. 4. Racic L. 21. Nemcik T. (C) 23. Jenssen U. 8. Fossum I. 6. Vaananen S. 22. Sletsjoe H. 5. Zeidan M. 17. Thorvaldsson I. 45. Reitan-Sunde J.
Substitutes
71. Ekerhaugen S. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 8. Grundt J. 9. Haren L. 5. Holme F. 22. Langrekken L. 21. Lysgard D. 24. Overby A. 20. Sandstad A.	7. Broholm M. 35. Ceide E. K. 38. Ceide M. K. 18. Holm N. 19. Pereira A. 2. Reitan E. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 10. Selnaes O. 50. Volden H.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽, Christiansen R. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Thorvaldsson I. ⚽, Fossum I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mbow M. ↓, Holme F. ↑,
46', Reitan-Sunde J. ↓, Ceide E. K. ↑,
61', Christiansen R. ↓, Haren L. ↑,
61', Vaananen S. ↓, Selnaes O. ↑,
61', Thorvaldsson I. ↓, Holm N. ↑,
61', Sletsjoe H. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Williams N. ⚽, Dybevik A. (A),
68', Mortensen J. 🟨,
71', Dybevik A. ↓, Gjerstrom M. ↑,
71', Nilsson J. ↓, Langrekken L. ↑,
75', Racic L. 🟨,
75', Jenssen U. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Broholm M. ⚽,
83', Saathof P. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Zeidan M. ↓, Reitan E. ↑,
94', Williams N. ↓, Overby A. ↑,
100', Nemcik T. 🟨,
112', 2 - 3, Fossum I. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
118', Nielsen E. 🟨,

Preview

Kongsvinger has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rosenborg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Kongsvinger has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rosenborg is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Kongsvinger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Kongsvinger - Odd	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	3:4 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Skeid - Kongsvinger	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.25	Rosenborg - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Brann - Rosenborg	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Tromsdalen - Rosenborg	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.05.25	Rosenborg - Bryne	3:0 ✺
01.05.25	Rosenborg - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.04.23	Rosenborg - Kongsvinger	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
20.11.16	Kongsvinger - Rosenborg	0:4

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