Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+


	Kongsvinger		Sandefjord

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	3	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.22	3.9	3.05	Watch
	2.16	3.65	2.9
	2.23	3.97	2.99
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.19	3.88	2.95
	2.23	3.7	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.96)	3.73 ↑ (3.39)	2.97 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
43%

Draw
25.3%

Sandefjord
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.3%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

26.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger's performance.

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandefjord might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandefjord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	4.3%	21.7%

Kongsvinger - Sandefjord Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kongsvinger: 56% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.

Sandefjord has the most likely position - 14 (100%), has project points - 24, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (50%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 2.

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sandefjord is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Kongsvinger have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.11.22	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.11.22	Start - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
03.11.22	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LWWWL
- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.11.22	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	4:0 ✺
13.11.22	Sandefjord - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Molde - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Sandefjord - Hamarkameratene	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Aalesunds - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
16.11.22	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	4:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.10.19	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	2:3
21.07.19	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.16	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.07.16	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	1:3
05.06.16	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
03.06.15	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	3:4 penalties

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