Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Sandefjord Arena (Sandefjord)

Referee: Steen K. E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+


	Sandefjord		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.8	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.8
	1.87	3.65	3.7
	1.93	3.8	4.03
	1.83	3.4	3.75
	1.86	3.74	3.9
	1.9	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	3.79 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord
49.8%

Draw
25.5%

Kongsvinger
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

Sandefjord - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sandefjord will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sandefjord: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Sandefjord has the most likely position - 14 (100%), has project points - 24, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (50%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandefjord won 2.

Sandefjord has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sandefjord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kongsvinger have a series of guest games.

In this match Sandefjord is a favorite.

There will not play in Sandefjord: Foss S. M. (Injury) Mork S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sandefjord: Chaib Y. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sandefjord won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandefjord won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.11.22	Sandefjord - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Molde - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Sandefjord - Hamarkameratene	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Aalesunds - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Sandefjord - Jerv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.11.22	Start - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
03.11.22	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Skeid - Kongsvinger	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.10.19	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	2:3
21.07.19	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.16	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.07.16	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	1:3
05.06.16	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
03.06.15	Kongsvinger - Sandefjord	3:4 penalties
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.07.13	Sandefjord - Kongsvinger	2:2

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