Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 25

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Kongsvinger		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.7
	4.1	3.9	1.68
	4.33	4	1.72	Watch
	4.46	4.13	1.73
	4.52	4.04	1.68	Watch
	4.2	4	1.62
	4.25	3.95	1.72
	4.33	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.79)	3.99 ↑ (3.97)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
21.7%

Draw
23.4%

Vålerenga
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23.7%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.2%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kongsvinger - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Klemensson A. (G) 5. Holme F. 6. Holter H. (C) 10. Gerson L. 22. Langrekken L. 20. Grundt J. 7. Taylor E. 2. Nilsson J. 27. Dybevik A. 32. Kapskarmo O. 11. Williams N.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 6. Hedenstad V. 4. Olsen A. 55. Jarl S. 18. Jukleroed S. 8. Bjordal H. (C) 29. Ambina F. 17. Lange C. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 80. Brajanac M. 7. Riisnaes M.
Substitutes
25. Damhaug M. 71. Ekerhaugen S. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 9. Guven A. 14. Haren L. 21. Lysgard D. 12. Mbow M. 19. Nielsen E. 48. Sandstad A.	5. Fasika I. 15. Hagen E. 19. Kamara O. 3. Kjelsen A. 14. Obasi O. 9. Rijks M. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 26. Thorvaldsen F.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽, Kapskarmo O. (A),
28', Ambina F. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Brajanac M. ⚽, Jukleroed S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Grundt J. ⚽,
61', Holter H. 🟨,
64', El Abdellaoui J. 🟨,
67', Langrekken L. 🟨,
69', Riisnaes M. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Brajanac M. ⚽,
77', Kapskarmo O. ↓, Guven A. ↑,
77', Williams N. ↓, Haren L. ↑,
82', Lange C. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
84', Hedenstad V. 🟨,
85', Langrekken L. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
85', Holme F. 🟨,
88', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vålerenga in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kongsvinger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kongsvinger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.24	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	1:5 ✺
16.09.24	Kongsvinger - Moss	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Åsane - Kongsvinger	2:1 ✺
27.08.24	Kongsvinger - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLW
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.09.24	Vålerenga - Aalesunds	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bryne - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Vålerenga - Åsane	5:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sandnes Ulf - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Vålerenga - Lyn	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.24	Vålerenga - Kongsvinger	0:2
Club Friendly
06.02.18	Vålerenga - Kongsvinger	4:0
25.03.17	Kongsvinger - Vålerenga	2:1
23.01.16	Kongsvinger - Vålerenga	0:2

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