Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)


	Kongsvinger		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.62	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.77
	2.26	3.62	2.84	Watch
	2.52	3.4	2.63
	2.5	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.27)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	2.7 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
37.9%

Draw
27.4%

Aalesunds
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Kongsvinger - Aalesunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 22. Langrekken L. 5. Holme F. 21. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 8. Grundt J. 14. Christensen F. 27. Dybevik A. (C) 9. Haren L. 28. Christiansen R. 11. Williams N.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 15. Skuseth N. 7. Nesso K. 21. Christensen M. 6. Hammer H. 8. Melland H. 16. Orsahl J. 9. Ngongo P. 39. Lonebu K.
Substitutes
13. Flores M. 17. Gjerstrom M. 6. Holter H. 15. Lysell V. 12. Mbow M. 2. Nilsson J. 24. Overby A. 1. Stromberg A. (G) 23. Vinjor M.	2. Andresen M. 45. Aukland P. 3. Gudmundsson O. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 26. Larsen T. (G) 17. Myrlid E.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
22', 0 - 1, Melland H. ⚽, Orsahl J. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Haren L. (Pen),
28', 1 - 2, Ngongo P. ⚽, Nesso K. (A),
29', 2 - 2, Christiansen R. ⚽,
37', 2 - 3, Ngongo P. ⚽, Lonebu K. (A),
37', Lysgard D. 🟨,
45', Dybevik A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lysgard D. ↓, Mbow M. ↑,
48', 2 - 4, Lonebu K. ⚽, Melland H. (A),
54', 3 - 4, Grundt J. ⚽, Dybevik A. (A),
54', Langrekken L. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
62', Christiansen R. ↓, Vinjor M. ↑,
67', Skuseth N. 🟨,
68', Skuseth N. ↓, Aukland P. ↑,
68', Melland H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
70', Ngongo P. 🟨,
76', 4 - 4, Vinjor M. ⚽, Dybevik A. (A),
81', Grundt J. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
86', Lonebu K. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
97', Holme F. ↓, Holter H. ↑,
97', Williams N. ↓, Gjerstrom M. ↑,
101', Ngongo P. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
101', Orsahl J. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,
109', Aukland P. 🟨,
110', Nesso K. ↓, Gudmundsson O. ↑,
112', 4 - 5, Aukland P. ⚽, Christensen M. (A),
116', Haren L. 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Aalesunds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kongsvinger won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Kongsvinger - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.75%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.11.25	Åsane - Kongsvinger	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Kongsvinger - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Lyn - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
22.10.25	Kongsvinger - Hødd	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Moss - Kongsvinger	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWWW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.11.25	Aalesunds - Egersund	3:1 ET ✺
08.11.25	Hødd - Aalesunds	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Aalesunds - Åsane	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Moss - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Aalesunds - Lyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.08.25	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	3:1
18.06.25	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	3:0
21.09.24	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	1:5
09.06.24	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	4:4
14.09.19	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	1:1
06.04.19	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	1:0
16.09.18	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	2:1

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