Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion miejski w Katowicach (Katowice)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	GKS Katowice		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.82
	2.42	3.4	2.92
	2.40	3.48	2.83	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.47	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.37)	3.38 ↑ (3.29)	2.81 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
38.8%

Draw
27.8%

Korona Kielce
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	30.8%	46.2%

GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Korona will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - GKS Katowice (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Straczek R. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 23. Wasielewski M. 5. Bosch J. 77. Kowalczyk M. 8. Galan B. 15. Markovic E. 99. Zrelak A. 27. Nowak B.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 37. Zwozny H. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 9. Davidovic S. 70. Antonin 7. Blanik D. (C)
Substitutes
11. Blad A. 13. Jaroszek B. 19. Lukasiak K. 14. Lukowski J. . Milewski S. 20. Rejczyk F. 16. Rogala G. 80. Shkurin I. 33. Szczuka P. (G) 10. Wedrychowski M.	61. Budnicki J. 27. Kaminski W. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Nikolov V. 15. Niski N. 10. Nono 6. Pieczek M. 26. Popov V. 23. Rubezic S. 13. Strzebonski M.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Remacle M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
59', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
60', Matuszewski K. ↓, Pieczek M. ↑,
67', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
67', Bosch J. ↓, Milewski S. ↑,
68', Nikolov V. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Milewski S. ⚽,
79', Popov V. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
79', Davidovic S. ↓, Nono ↑,
82', Kuusk M. 🟨,
85', Wedrychowski M. 🟨,
90+3', Blanik D. 🟨,
90+3', Wasielewski M. 🟨,
90+5', Klemenz L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Korona: Ciszek K. (Injury) Dlugosz W. (Injury)

There are questionable in GKS Katowice: Czerwinski A. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.10.25	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.25	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTWL
- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Stal Rzeszów - Korona Kielce	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.25	Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
05.05.25	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	2:1
04.11.24	GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce	1:2
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	0:1
Polish Division 1
14.05.22	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	1:2
06.11.21	GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce	1:0
Club Friendly
13.02.21	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	1:0
16.01.13	GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce	3:1

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