Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 14

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Piast Gliwice		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.88	Watch
	2.58	3.1	2.72
	2.38	3.46	2.86	Watch
	2.56	3.1	2.73	Watch
	2.54	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.21)	3.15 ↑ (2.95)	2.81 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
36.8%

Draw
29.8%

Korona Kielce
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

31.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korona Kielce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Piast (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Plach F. (G) 29. Drapinski I. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 5. Juande 55. Twumasi E. 10. Dziczek P. 77. Jirka E. 17. Boisgard Q. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 11. Sanca L. 9. Dalmau A.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 26. Popov V. 27. Kaminski W. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 9. Davidovic S. 10. Nono (C) 8. Remacle M.
Substitutes
63. Barkovskiy G. 6. Chrapek M. 7. Felix J. 31. Lesniak O. 36. Lewicki J. 22. Mokwa T. 15. Pitan L. 79. Rychta D. (G) 80. Vallejo H.	7. Blanik D. 61. Budnicki J. 17. Glowinski M. 87. Mamla R. (G) 20. Minuczyc K. 22. Niedbala M. (G) 15. Niski N. 6. Pieczek M. 24. Smolarczyk B. 13. Strzebonski M. 37. Zwozny H.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
33', Remacle M. 🟨,
36', Boisgard Q. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Sanca L. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
70', Remacle M. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
70', Popov V. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
75', Matuszewski K. ↓, Pieczek M. ↑,
75', Kaminski W. ↓, Strzebonski M. ↑,
82', Dalmau A. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
82', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
86', Nono ↓, Glowinski M. ↑,
90+1', Plach F. 🟨,
90+6', Chrapek M. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Korona: Ciszek K. (Injury) Dlugosz W. (Injury) Nikolov V. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Korona: Antonin (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Odra Opole - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Korona Kielce
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Korona Kielce	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
19.04.25	Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce	1:1
18.10.24	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	0:2
05.05.24	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1
03.11.23	Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce	0:0
12.05.23	Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce	2:1
29.10.22	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1
05.06.20	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:2

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