Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 33

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Exbud Arena (Kielce)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Korona Kielce		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.7	Watch
	2.52	3.1	2.78	Watch
	2.66	3.2	3.04
	2.7	2.91	3	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.8
	2.58	2.88	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.51)	3 ↓ (3.28)	2.87 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
36%

Draw
31.3%

Widzew Łódź
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Widzew will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 37. Zwozny H. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 6. Pieczek M. 10. Nono (C) 7. Blanik D. 14. Stepinski M.	1. Dragowski B. (C) 5. Andreou S. 25. Wisniewski P. 53. Kapuadi S. 3. Kozlovsky S. 6. Shehu J. 77. Baena Perez A. 10. Alvarez F. 8. Kornvig E. 7. Fornalczyk M. 99. Bergier S.
Substitutes
70. Antonin 21. Ciszek K. 9. Davidovic S. 86. Gustafson S. 27. Kaminski W. 87. Mamla R. (G) 3. Matuszewski K. 11. Nikolov V. 15. Niski N. 26. Popov V.	22. Bukari O. 30. Ilic V. (G) 98. Kikolski M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 19. Pawlowski B. 18. Selahi L. 14. Visus R. 9. Zeqiri A. 4. Zyro M.
Coaches
Zielinski J.	Vukovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Svetlin T. 🟨,
21', Kornvig E. 🟨,
45+1', Shehu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Blanik D. ⚽,
63', Andreou S. ↓, Krajewski M. ↑,
69', Blanik D. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
72', Davidovic S. 🟨,
74', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
74', Baena Perez A. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
76', Stepinski M. ↓, Antonin ↑,
77', Pieczek M. ↓, Matuszewski K. ↑,
79', Alvarez F. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
83', Bergier S. 🟨,
84', Nono ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
90+6', Nikolov V. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4.

Recent form of Korona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Widzew's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Korona: Cebula M. (Inactive) Minuczyc K. (Inactive) Stepinski M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Widzew: Cheng C. (Ankle Injury) Czyz S. (Inactive) Lerager L. (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Korona won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Korona Kielce: 2.08% Widzew Lodz: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12:10	2	15
13	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	13:13	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Widzew Łódź - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTLT
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.05.26	Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
23.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	1:3
11.04.25	Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź	2:1
Polish Cup
04.12.24	Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.10.24	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	0:1
01.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	3:1
22.09.23	Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź	1:1
27.05.23	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	0:3

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