Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Korona Kielce 2		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	1.92	4	2.99
	2.07	3.96	2.84	Watch
	1.8	3.88	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.66)	3.95 ↓ (3.98)	3.11 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
47.4%

Draw
23.2%

Broń Radom
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

21.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce 2's form might have worsened.

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Broń Radom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Korona Kielce 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Broń Radom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Korona 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Broń Radom is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Korona 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Korona 2 could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	1:4 ✺
30.05.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1 ✺
25.05.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Korona Kielce 2	2:2 ✺
21.05.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Unia Tarnów	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWTW
- Broń Radom
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.25	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	Wikielec - Broń Radom	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Broń Radom - GKS Bełchatów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL

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