The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genk 48.7%
Draw 26.9%
Anderlecht 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
26.2%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
26.6%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anderlecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anderlecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.4%
0%
13.6%
Genk - Anderlecht Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Genk (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Genk will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Lawal T. (G) 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 18. Kayembe J. 77. El Ouahdi Z. 38. Heymans D. 8. Heynen B. 19. Medina Y. 20. Karetsas K. 23. Bibout A. 10. Ito J.
26. Coosemans C. (G) 54. Sardella K. 3. Hey L. 15. Ilic M. 79. Maamar A. 13. Saliba N. 24. Llansana E. 83. Degreef T. 10. Verschaeren Y. 77. da Costa C. 14. Sikan D.
Substitutes
21. Bangoura I. 28. Brughmans L. (G) 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
4. Angely M. 91. Bertaccini A. 7. Camara I. 9. Cvetkovic M. 93. Diarra M. 11. Hazard T. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 73. Imbrechts J. (G) 99. Kanate I. 78. Tajaouart A.
Coaches
Hayen N.
Still E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
41', da Costa C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', da Costa C. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
54', Kayembe J. 🟨,
64', Medina Y. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
64', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
64', Sikan D. ↓, Cvetkovic M. ↑,
64', Degreef T. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Sor Y. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
76', Sardella K. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
76', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
79', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Mirisola R. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.
Genk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Anderlecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Genk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Genk could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L.
(Hamstring Injury)
De Cat N.
(Yellow Cards)
Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Stroeykens M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Genk: Sor Y.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now
Anderlecht: 4.86% Genk: 4.82%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Anderlecht
8
5
1
2
9:6
3
16
11
Genk
7
2
3
2
13:12
1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Anderlecht - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.