Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza


	Kortrijk		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.05	3.3	3.65
	2.12	3.32	3.75
	2.1	3.33	3.67	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.08	3.47	3.61	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	3.55 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
44.8%

Draw
28.5%

Dender EH
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Kortrijk - Dender EH Predictions

Users Predictions: Kortrijk will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vandenberghe T. (G) 24. Fujii H. 44. Silva J. (C) 26. Lagae B. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 16. Dejaegere B. 10. Kadri A. 23. Takamine T. 11. De Neve D. 45. Messaoudi B. 19. Nacho	34. Verrips M. (G) 22. Ruyssen G. (C) 21. Cools K. 3. Pupe J. 20. Hrncar D. 16. Kvet R. 18. Rodes N. 26. Oratmangoen R. 88. Ferraro F. 90. Berte M. 11. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
2. Alebiosu R. 68. Ambrose T. 17. Bruno M. 20. Dewaele G. 14. Fossum I. 31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 35. Huygevelde N. 27. Sissako A. 42. Verbauwhede L.	23. Acquah D. 19. Akman A. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 4. Goncalves B. 7. M'barki R. 77. Nsimba B. 98. Soladio J. 53. Sylla D. 24. Viltard M.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.	Euvrard V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', Dejaegere B. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Berte M. ⚽, Ferraro F. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Scheidler A. ⚽, Rodes N. (A),
41', Pupe J. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Scheidler A. ⚽, Cools K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silva J. ↓, Dewaele G. ↑,
46', Takamine T. ↓, Ambrose T. ↑,
62', Berte M. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
62', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Viltard M. ↑,
72', Dejaegere B. ↓, Bruno M. ↑,
72', Messaoudi B. ↓, Sissako A. ↑,
73', Viltard M. 🟨,
76', Scheidler A. ↓, Soladio J. ↑,
76', Kvet R. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
86', Acquah D. 🟨,
90+1', Kadri A. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Kortrijk is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dender EH is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kortrijk will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kortrijk: Mampassi M. (Injury)

There will not play in Dender EH: Fila K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kortrijk: Simic R. (Knock)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Fofana D. (Injury) Lallemand M. (Broken ankle) Van Oudenhove J. (Muscle Injury) Yahaya A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.12.24	Genk - Kortrijk	3:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Kortrijk - Royal Antwerp	0:1 penalties ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.24	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Westerlo - Kortrijk	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Kortrijk - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Dender EH - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Club Brugge - Dender EH	4:1 ✺
22.11.24	Royal Antwerp - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Westerlo - Dender EH	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.08.24	Dender EH - Kortrijk	4:1
Belgian Cup
01.11.23	Dender EH - Kortrijk	1:2 penalties

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