Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.9
	2.3	3.25	2.75
				Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.97
	2.41	3.26	2.91
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.38	3.22	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	2.86 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
39.3%

Draw
28.4%

Warta Poznań
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 7. Kosakiewicz L. 44. Lucas Ramos 66. Witasik P. 14. Kostevych V. 80. Petrovic Z. 24. Oliveira F. 29. Bykowski M. 57. Segbe Azankpo D. 39. Jonathan Junior 32. Rajsel N. (C)	42. Przybylak L. (G) 26. Michalski K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 44. Markov I. 3. Kielb J. (C) 20. Szeliga B. 65. Shibata S. 5. Tkachuk Y. 21. Adamski R. 9. Firlej M.
Substitutes
77. Bieganski A. 10. Cywinski M. 6. Kort K. 9. Kozlowski F. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 19. Lasek M. 27. Welna T. 17. Zietek L.	2. Bartkowski J. 7. Gaska D. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 15. Kopczynski M. 29. Mackowiak M. 17. Sarbinowski S. 77. Walus F. 10. Zurawski M.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Klepczarek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
11', Segbe Azankpo D. 🟨,
23', Kostevych V. ↓, Cywinski M. ↑,
26', Cywinski M. 🟨,
39', Firlej M. 🟨,
45+2', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
45+4', Lucas Ramos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wojcinowicz T. ↓, Bartkowski J. ↑,
60', Adamski R. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
67', Rajsel N. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Plesnierowicz W. ⚽, Shibata S. (A),
76', Tkachuk Y. ↓, Kopczynski M. ↑,
78', Shibata S. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
80', Kielb J. 🟨,
83', Kosakiewicz L. ↓, Bieganski A. ↑,
85', Markov I. 🟨,
90', Petrovic Z. ↓, Kozlowski F. ↑,
90+5', Walus F. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kotwica Kołobrzeg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kotwica Kołobrzeg have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Arka Gdynia - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTL
- Warta Poznań
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Mieszko Gniezno - Warta Poznań	1:6 ✺
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:4 ✺
28.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Wisła Płock - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Warta Poznań - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
19.11.16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań	0:0
30.07.16	Warta Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1

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