Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Jarzebak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.25
	2.95	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.35	3.3	2.23
	3.22	3.16	2.29	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.23	3.13	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
29.5%

Draw
29.4%

Miedź Legnica
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

28%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Miedź will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miedź: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grobelny J. (G) 27. Przybylko K. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 44. Markov I. 26. Michalski K. 65. Shibata S. 15. Kopczynski M. 3. Kielb J. (C) 10. Zurawski M. 9. Firlej M. 20. Szeliga B.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 17. Kostka M. 5. Kovacevic A. (C) 99. Kwiecien B. 3. Grudzinski M. 27. Letniowski J. 22. Kaczmarski I. 6. Podgorski J. 10. Mioc B. 98. Antonik K. 95. Mansfeld M.
Substitutes
21. Adamski R. 2. Bartkowski J. 7. Gaska D. 29. Mackowiak M. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 17. Sarbinowski S. 5. Tkachuk Y. 77. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 7. Bida B. 8. Chuca 16. Czerwik J. 19. Drina A. 14. Drygas K. 11. Drzazga K. 69. Michalik D. 49. Szymoniak O.
Coaches
Klepczarek P.	Mamrot I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
4', 0 - 1, Antonik K. ⚽, Kwiecien B. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Mansfeld M. ⚽, Grudzinski M. (A),
24', Markov I. 🟨,
26', 0 - 3, Kaczmarski I. ⚽, Podgorski J. (A),
39', 0 - 4, Kostka M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Przybylko K. ↓, Wojcinowicz T. ↑,
46', Zurawski M. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
46', Kielb J. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
46', Kopczynski M. ↓, Tkachuk Y. ↑,
62', Letniowski J. ↓, Chuca ↑,
62', Antonik K. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
69', Kwiecien B. ↓, Drina A. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Adamski R. ⚽, Shibata S. (A),
75', Mioc B. ↓, Drygas K. ↑,
75', Podgorski J. ↓, Michalik D. ↑,
81', Shibata S. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 3.

Recent matches Warta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miedź is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Miedź have a series of home games.

Miedź will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Warta won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
28.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Wisła Płock - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Warta Poznań - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 TWLWT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
29.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	1:0 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
13.02.23	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:1
30.07.22	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	1:2
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	0:1
Polish Division 1
27.06.20	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	0:0
29.09.19	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	2:1
Club Friendly
05.07.17	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:2
Polish Division 1
01.06.13	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	2:2

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