Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.85	3.05	2.55	Watch
	3.24	3.05	2.56
	2.89	3	2.59
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.93	2.77	2.58
	2.85	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.48)	3 ↓ (3.22)	2.52 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
32.3%

Draw
30.9%

Chrobry Głogów
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kotwica Kołobrzeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Chrobry will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 45. Favorov D. 10. Cywinski M. 27. Welna T. 22. Kostevych V. 6. Kort K. 8. Ramos L. 29. Perez J. 32. Musolitin M. 15. Kurowski M. 9. Kozlowski F.	95. Lenarcik P. (G) 23. Lewkot S. 96. Szarek P. 18. Mazur M. 80. Tabis K. 19. Mucha P. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 9. Ozimek M. 74. Antczak J. 13. Kuzdra J. 90. Lewandowski M.
Substitutes
28. Cucos C. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 19. Lasek M. 7. Nawate Y. 16. Sadovski U. 99. Skiba D. 83. Trojnarski A.	99. Arndt D. (G) 30. Bartlewicz S. 7. Bonecki S. 5. Bougaidis M. 77. Hanc D. 11. Lebedynski M. 35. Marcinkowski E. . Wojtal F.
Coaches
Tworek P.	Plewnia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Mandrysz R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Cywinski M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Tabis K. 🟨,
57', Kuzdra J. ↓, Hanc D. ↑,
57', Antczak J. ↓, Bartlewicz S. ↑,
57', Mandrysz R. ↓, Lebedynski M. ↑,
76', Kozlowski F. ↓, Sadovski U. ↑,
76', Szarek P. ↓, Bougaidis M. ↑,
78', Welna T. 🟨,
84', Lewkot S. ↓, Bonecki S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Lewandowski M. (Pen),
90+5', 2 - 1, Perez J. ⚽, Sadovski U. (A),
90+6', Perez J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
26.04.25	Warta Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1 ✺
22.04.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Ruch Chorzów	3:4 ✺
13.04.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLTTL
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
27.04.25	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
09.04.25	Wisła Kraków - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Chrobry Głogów - Znicz Pruszków	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:2
Club Friendly
19.07.19	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Chrobry Głogów	0:2

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