Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.57
	4.75	4	1.65
	4.59	3.9	1.67
	4.68	3.85	1.63	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.57
	4.71	3.78	1.61
	4.75	4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (3.4)	3.88 ↑ (3.43)	1.62 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
19.6%

Draw
23.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kotwica Kołobrzeg's form might have worsened.

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kotwica Kołobrzeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krzepisz K. (G) 29. Bykowski M. 10. Cywinski M. 39. Jonathan Junior 7. Kosakiewicz L. (C) 22. Kostevych V. 21. Kozajda M. 80. Petrovic Z. 32. Rajsel N. 6. Ramos L. 27. Welna T.	31. Perchel M. (G) 33. Abramowicz D. 22. Craciun A. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 8. Mrozinski P. 17. Radecki M. 14. Serafin J. (C) 9. Siemaszko A. 27. Solowiej L. 10. Tomalski H. 3. Yakuba R.
Substitutes
77. Bieganski A. 40. Cadu . Kort K. 88. Koziol M. (G) 9. Kozlowski F. 99. Trojnarski A. 66. Witasik P. 17. Zietek L.	24. Blagaic J. 11. Cholewiak M. 45. Kidric R. 1. Komar K. (G) 35. Kosidis M. 29. Okoniewski K. . Stepien K. 4. Szymonowicz D. 16. Walski M.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Tulacz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Siemaszko A. ⚽,
54', 🟨,
81', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLTW
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice	0:6 ✺
28.09.24	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.04.17	Puszcza Niepołomice - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1
10.09.16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
15.05.16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
24.10.15	Puszcza Niepołomice - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0
23.11.14	Puszcza Niepołomice - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:4

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