Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Raków Częstochowa		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.75
	1.38	4.5	8	Watch
	1.39	4.77	8.37
	1.41	4.6	8.1	Watch
	1.35	4.33	8
	1.39	4.55	7.95	Watch
	1.38	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)	8.08 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
67.6%

Draw
20.8%

Puszcza Niepołomice
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

20.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

19.4%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puszcza Niepołomice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 2. Mosor A. 88. Rodin M. 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. (C) 5. Berggren G. 30. Kochergin V. 20. Silva J. 84. Adriano 10. Lopez I. 91. Walczak T.	31. Perchel M. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 22. Craciun A. 3. Yakuba R. 18. Siplak M. 14. Serafin J. (C) 70. Hajda W. 10. Tomalski H. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 33. Abramowicz D. 35. Kosidis M.
Substitutes
19. Ameyaw M. 23. Barath P. 18. Brunes J. 15. Diaz J. 21. Drachal D. 12. Kuciak D. (G) 8. Lederman B. 26. Otieno E. 3. Rundic M.	20. Gil F. 77. Kogut D. 1. Komar K. (G) 29. Okoniewski K. 28. Pieprzyca I. 67. Revenco I. 48. Sendor A. 27. Solowiej L. 16. Walski M.
Coaches
Papszun M.	Tulacz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Rodin M. 🟨,
18', Serafin J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Silva J. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Lopez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Kochergin V. 🟨,
54', Hajda W. 🟨,
56', Serafin J. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
56', Hajda W. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
60', Lopez I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
60', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
60', Walczak T. ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
68', Siplak M. ↓, Okoniewski K. ↑,
72', Brunes J. 🟨,
73', Adriano ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
80', Tomalski H. ↓, Kogut D. ↑,
80', Kosidis M. ↓, Pieprzyca I. ↑,
86', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
90', Mosor A. ↓, Rundic M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raków won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Raków is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Raków: Czyz S. (Injury)

There will not play in Puszcza: Blagaic J. (Injury) Craciun A. (Red Card) Kidric R. (Injury) Kielis P. (Injury) Siemaszko A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Raków: Plavsic S. (Injury) Racovitan B. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Raków won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	1:0 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.09.24	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	5:1 ✺
15.09.24	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLW
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Cracovia	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Piast Gliwice - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.24	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1
03.09.23	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
Club Friendly
27.06.23	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:0
Polish Division 1
11.11.18	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:3
21.07.18	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:0
26.11.17	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1

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