Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Puszcza Niepołomice		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.94	3.2	2.69
	2.93	3.07	2.61	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.84	3.05	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.47)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	2.55 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
33.2%

Draw
29.9%

GKS Katowice
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	42.9%	7.1%

Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 7 - 50%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 22. Craciun A. 3. Yakuba R. 18. Siplak M. 5. Stepien K. 16. Walski M. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 70. Hajda W. (C) 33. Abramowicz D. 35. Kosidis M.	1. Kudla D. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 30. Czerwinski A. 77. Kowalczyk M. 5. Repka O. 23. Wasielewski M. 11. Blad A. 27. Nowak B. 7. Bergier S.
Substitutes
77. Kogut D. 1. Komar K. (G) 29. Okoniewski K. 28. Pieprzyca I. 17. Radecki M. 14. Serafin J. 27. Solowiej L. 12. Stepien M. 10. Tomalski H.	74. Antczak J. 21. Baranowicz B. 28. Brod A. 8. Galan B. 13. Jaroszek B. 14. Komor A. 17. Marzec M. 22. Milewski S. 32. Straczek R. (G)
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Kowalczyk M. ⚽, Klemenz L. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Bergier S. ⚽, Repka O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Walski M. ↓, Serafin J. ↑,
46', Bergier S. ↓, Galan B. ↑,
56', Yakuba R. ↓, Solowiej L. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Repka O. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
68', Klemenz L. 🟨,
71', Craciun A. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
71', Hajda W. ↓, Okoniewski K. ↑,
73', 0 - 4, Jedrych A. (Pen),
77', 0 - 5, Nowak B. (Pen),
78', Czerwinski A. ↓, Marzec M. ↑,
78', Klemenz L. ↓, Komor A. ↑,
78', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Baranowicz B. ↑,
82', Wasielewski M. ↓, Antczak J. ↑,
82', Stepien K. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
86', 0 - 6, Antczak J. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.

Puszcza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches GKS Katowice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Puszcza have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Puszcza: Blagaic J. (Injury) Kidric R. (Injury) Kielis P. (Injury) Siemaszko A. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.24	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Cracovia	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Piast Gliwice - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTL
- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.09.24	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
13.09.24	GKS Katowice - Widzew Łódź	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.23	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1
Polish Division 1
13.05.23	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2
15.10.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice	1:1
01.05.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice	1:1
23.10.21	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
Club Friendly
14.02.20	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2
Polish Division 1
14.04.19	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice	1:2

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