Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Kotwica Kórnik		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	3.9	4	1.69
	3.28	3.85	1.84
	3.44	3.99	1.83
	3.61	3.75	1.8
	3.9	4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.75)	3.92 ↑ (3.69)	1.77 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kórnik
25.2%

Draw
23.3%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

25.1%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

24%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kórnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kotwica Kórnik's form might have worsened.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zawisza Bydgoszcz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kotwica Kórnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zawisza Bydgoszcz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kotwica Kórnik - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Rugowski S. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Mikita P. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Kowalski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
90+3', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 2, Bordych P. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Wlodarczak T. ⚽,
90+12', 🟥,
90+13', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Recent matches Kotwica Kórnik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zawisza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotwica Kórnik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zawisza have a series of guest games.

In this match Zawisza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.10.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:5 ✺
18.10.24	Unia Swarzędz - Kotwica Kórnik	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Sokół Kleczew	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	Gryf Słupsk - Kotwica Kórnik	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Noteć Czarnków	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTLW
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.10.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:4 ✺
23.10.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:3 ✺
05.10.24	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWL

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