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Current Win Probability
Kitchee 58.1%
Draw 21.9%
North District 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.8%
18%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70%
17.4%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kitchee's form might have worsened.
North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North District's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kitchee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North District than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North District, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kitchee - North District Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wang Z. (G) 22. Beattie C. 30. Juninho 11. Kanda Y. 41. Lam P. 20. Martinez Ortiz L. 4. Matheus Dantas 7. Mingazov R. 9. Revilla A. 3. Riera R. 16. Tan Chun-Lok (C)
63. Li H. D. (G) 22. Arboleda Y. 4. Danilo Santos 29. Khan J. 10. Law Hiu-Chung 70. Samuel Granada 32. Villalobos E. (C) 8. Vinicius Soares 11. Weverton Gudula 3. Wong Chun-Ho 15. Wong H.
Substitutes
37. Chan Shing-Chun 8. Cheng Chin-Lung 6. Haddow J. 34. Kam Chi-Kin. J. 10. Kendy 27. Lam Lok-Kan J. 2. Law Tsz-Chun 40. Li Siu-Hin 23. Shek T. (G) 31. Slattery M.
1. Chung H. (G) 20. Kayke David 9. Lo Kong-Wai 25. Pun Tsz-Hei 2. Singh B. K. 23. Siu C. N. 13. Siu S. 21. So Tsz-Yin 6. Tsang C. 17. Wong Ching-Hin 73. Wong W. 7. Yuen Sai-Kit
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Khan J. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Wong Chun-Ho (Own goal),
23', 1 - 1, Samuel Granada ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', Lam P. ↓, Law Tsz-Chun ↑,
61', Juninho ↓, Lam Lok-Kan J. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Villalobos E. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Lam Lok-Kan J. ⚽,
69', Kanda Y. ↓, Kendy ↑,
78', Law Tsz-Chun 🟨,
78', 3 - 2, Mingazov R. ⚽,
78', Vinicius Soares ↓, Kayke David ↑,
79', Law Hiu-Chung ↓, Lo Kong-Wai ↑,
85', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Chan Shing-Chun ↑,
86', Matheus Dantas 🟨,
88', 3 - 3, Khan J. ⚽,
90+4', Lam Lok-Kan J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
North District may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North District has had a series of away games.
In this match, Kitchee is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kitchee won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).
Hong-kong
Watch
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Wang Z. (G) 
Kanda Y. 
Martinez Ortiz L. 
Matheus Dantas 
Mingazov R. 
Arboleda Y. 
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