The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fakel 49.4%
Draw 30.2%
Nizhny Novgorod 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
30.6%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
24.5%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fakel's performance.
Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nizhny Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fakel will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (G) 4. Dziov M. 22. Yurganov I. 47. Bozhin S. 7. Brahimi M. 5. Cele T. 33. Kvekveskiri I. (C) 10. Alshin I. 20. Markov E. 23. Yakimov V. 15. Iljin V.
30. Medvedev N. (G) 15. Ektov A. 2. Aleksandrov V. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 22. Kakkoev N. 11. Stamatov M. 78. Kalinski N. 18. Glazer D. 29. Ticic L. 20. Boselli J. 90. Ozegovic O.
Substitutes
8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 92. Bryzgalov S. 17. Giorgobiani N. 1. Gudiev V. (G) 64. Ivlev A. 13. Kalinin I. 9. Kashtanov A. 88. Masternoy V. 11. Motpan N. 72. Senhadji R. 21. Shchetinin M.
87. Bozhenov K. 19. Ermakov N. 7. Karapuzov V. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 34. Mukhin A. 70. Shnaptsev M. 10. Troshechkin A. 80. Tsarukyan V. 47. Varganov A. 3. Vedernikov D. 9. Ze Turbo
Coaches
Pyatibratov D.
Ilic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Brahimi M. 🟨,
35', Kalinski N. 🟨,
43', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
45+3', Kakkoev N. 🟨,
45+4', Boselli J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
61', Cele T. ↓, Kashtanov A. ↑,
62', Kashtanov A. 🟨,
74', Boselli J. ↓, Tsarukyan V. ↑,
77', Alshin I. ↓, Kalinin I. ↑,
89', Iljin V. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
90+3', Stamatov M. 🟨,
90+3', Ticic L. ↓, Ermakov N. ↑,
90+3', Ozegovic O. ↓, Ze Turbo ↑,
90+6', Stamatov M. ↓, Bozhenov K. ↑,
90+8', Ermakov N. 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fakel won 2.
Fakel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pari NN has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pari NN could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Fakel will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fakel: Kalinin I.
(Injury)
There will not play in Pari NN: Maiga M.
(Knee Injury)
Maradishvili K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Pari NN: Zhigulev I.
(Knee Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Fakel won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-4.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Kazakhstan
North-macedonia
Russia
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Belenov A. (G) 
Brahimi M. 
Cele T. 
Stamatov M. 
Glazer D. 
Ticic L. 
Boselli J. 
Ozegovic O. 
Motpan N. 
Ze Turbo 
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