Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 9

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Bodding E. (Nor)


	Jerv		Kristiansund

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.15
	3.15	3.65	2.06
	3.1	3.81	2.17
	2.88	3.4	2.15
	3.02	3.7	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.92)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
31%

Draw
26%

Kristiansund
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Kristiansund have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Jerv - Kristiansund Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kristiansund will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jerv: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 2.

Jerv is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kristiansund is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jerv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kristiansund will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Jerv won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.23	Bryne - Jerv	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	Jerv - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Kongsvinger - Jerv	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Jerv - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
30.04.23	Moss - Jerv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.23	Kristiansund - Ranheim	3:2 ✺
12.05.23	Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Kristiansund - Bryne	3:1 ✺
03.05.23	Kristiansund - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Mjøndalen - Kristiansund	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
13.11.22	Kristiansund - Jerv	1:1
18.04.22	Jerv - Kristiansund	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.10.16	Jerv - Kristiansund	1:1
10.04.16	Kristiansund - Jerv	2:0
15.11.15	Kristiansund - Jerv	0:2
27.09.15	Jerv - Kristiansund	0:1
13.05.15	Kristiansund - Jerv	1:1

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