Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 19

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Referee: Draganov D. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 9
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Montenegro	Sportklub 9
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 9


	Krumovgrad		Levski Sofia

	1	X	2
	8	3.8	1.48	Watch
	6.75	4	1.46
	7.2	3.9	1.46	Watch
	8.08	4.08	1.45
	7.66	4.03	1.46	Watch
	7.5	3.75	1.44
	7.5	4.1	1.45	Watch
	7.2	3.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.49 ↑ (5.54)	3.95 ↑ (3.45)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
12.4%

Draw
23.6%

Levski Sofia
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

26.9%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

26.1%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levski Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levski Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Krumovgrad - Levski Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Levski will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (G) 2. Ali D. 25. Rabotov S. 5. Simic M. 24. Marin L. 91. Velev V. 22. Dost E. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 7. Tsvetanov M. 99. Guermouche Y. 70. Matheus Souza	44. Markovic M. (G) 5. van der Kaap K. 50. Dimitrov K. 4. Makoun C. 21. Neves A. 23. Myslovic P. 10. Mitkov A. 88. Petkov M. 6. Tsunami (C) 16. Bachev P. 9. Kolev A.
Substitutes
18. Daniel 11. Georgiev A. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 19. Milev N. 12. Prandzhev N. (G) 9. Rafael Furtado 88. Vatansever S. 77. Yusein O.	99. Andonov I. (G) 17. Everton Bala 97. Fadiga H. 22. Galchev P. 30. Ikenna C. 7. Lima F. 77. Mihalev D. 12. Sangare M. 14. Stefanov I.
Coaches
Ribarski A.	Genchev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Kolev A. ⚽, Makoun C. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Petkov M. ⚽, Neves A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guermouche Y. ↓, Milev N. ↑,
64', Tsvetanov M. ↓, Yusein O. ↑,
64', Matheus Souza ↓, Daniel ↑,
66', Myslovic P. ↓, Ikenna C. ↑,
75', Bachev P. ↓, Everton Bala ↑,
75', Tsunami ↓, Stefanov I. ↑,
89', Kolev A. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
89', Mitkov A. ↓, Fadiga H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Levski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Levski is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.12.24	Botev Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Krumovgrad - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
25.11.24	Slavia Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	CSKA Sofia - Krumovgrad	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Krumovgrad - Spartak Varna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWTL
- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.12.24	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Botev Vratsa - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Cherno More Varna - Levski Sofia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.08.24	Levski Sofia - Krumovgrad	3:0
22.05.24	Krumovgrad - Levski Sofia	0:1
10.03.24	Levski Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:0
18.09.23	Krumovgrad - Levski Sofia	2:2

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