Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 15

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Pavlov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	CSKA Sofia		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.29	4.8	9.25
	1.3	4.75	10	Watch
	1.3	4.91	11.43
	1.3	4.87	10.71	Watch
	1.29	5.05	11	Watch
	1.3	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	4.95 ↑ (4.9)	10.13 ↑ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
71.9%

Draw
18.9%

Krumovgrad
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.2%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

18.2%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

CSKA Sofia - Krumovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: CSKA Sofia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dyulgerov I. (G) 4. Petrov H. 5. Dellova L. 6. Cooper L. (C) 15. Vion T. 8. Shopov S. 7. Papazov M. 19. Turitsov I. 73. Iliev I. 77. Koyalipou G. 9. Bytyqi Z.	1. Georgiev Y. (G) 25. Rabotov S. 5. Simic M. 24. Marin L. 2. Ali D. 22. Dost E. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 13. Diego Raposo 91. Velev V. 9. Rafael Furtado 70. Matheus Souza
Substitutes
23. Antonov I. 13. Cordoba B. 99. Eto'o J. 14. Heintz T. 45. Leya Iseka A. 10. Lindseth J. 12. Orlinov M. (G) 30. Panayotov P. 3. Sanyang S.	18. Daniel 11. Georgiev A. 99. Guermouche Y. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 19. Milev N. 14. Popov S. 7. Tsvetanov M. 88. Vatansever S. 77. Yusein O.
Coaches
Tomash A.	Ribarski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Ali D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Koyalipou G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ali D. ↓, Tsvetanov M. ↑,
46', Matheus Souza ↓, Milev N. ↑,
53', Iliev I. 🟨,
56', Iliev I. ↓, Lindseth J. ↑,
56', Shopov S. ↓, Heintz T. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Bytyqi Z. (A),
66', Bytyqi Z. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
66', Rafael Furtado ↓, Guermouche Y. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Milev N. (Pen),
83', Diego Raposo ↓, Yusein O. ↑,
89', Koyalipou G. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
89', Papazov M. ↓, Leya Iseka A. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Milev N. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: ) and 10 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

CSKA Sofia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Krumovgrad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krumovgrad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently CSKA Sofia have a series of guest games.

In this match CSKA Sofia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams CSKA Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia	2:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - CSKA Sofia	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.24	CSKA Sofia - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWL
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.11.24	Krumovgrad - Spartak Varna	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Krumovgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.06.24	Krumovgrad - CSKA Sofia	0:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.05.24	CSKA Sofia - Krumovgrad	2:2
12.11.23	Krumovgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:4
21.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Krumovgrad	1:0

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