Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 16

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov (Sofia)

Referee: Trenchev S. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Slavia Sofia		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.33
	1.82	3.35	4.3
	1.84	3.34	4.76
	1.81	3.38	4.62	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.83	3.4	4.47	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.29)	3.35 ↑ (3.08)	4.44 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Sofia
51.3%

Draw
27.7%

Krumovgrad
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slavia Sofia's performance.

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krumovgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krumovgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Slavia Sofia - Krumovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Slavia Sofia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Krumovgrad will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Sofia: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Vutsov S. (G) 3. Tombak E. 6. Georgiev M. 5. Jelenkovic V. 22. Seedorf Q. 71. Stoyanov K. 19. Nguyen Do C. 18. Balov K. 73. Minchev I. (C) 11. Fabien K. 10. Nikolov V.	1. Georgiev Y. (G) 25. Rabotov S. 5. Simic M. 24. Marin L. 91. Velev V. 22. Dost E. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 13. Diego Raposo 7. Tsvetanov M. 99. Guermouche Y. 19. Milev N.
Substitutes
7. Aleksandrov D. 9. Chunchukov T. 4. Genev V. 33. Ivanov G. 37. Kerchev V. 12. Krastev N. (G) 27. Martinov E. 14. Raychev R. 77. Stoev E.	18. Daniel 11. Georgiev A. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 70. Matheus Souza 9. Rafael Furtado 88. Vatansever S. 77. Yusein O.
Coaches
Zagorcic Z.	Ribarski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Velev V. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Marin L. ⚽, Guermouche Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Diego Raposo ↓, Daniel ↑,
68', Minchev I. 🟨,
69', Nikolov V. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
69', Stoyanov K. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
75', Milev N. ↓, Matheus Souza ↑,
75', Guermouche Y. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
79', Daniel 🟨,
80', Balov K. ↓, Raychev R. ↑,
81', Fabien K. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
83', Ivanov G. 🟨,
83', Rafael Furtado 🟨,
85', Katsarov B. 🟨,
88', Tombak E. ↓, Genev V. ↑,
90', Tsvetanov M. ↓, Georgiev A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Slavia Sofia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Slavia Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Slavia Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slavia Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.11.24	Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	3:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.24	Montana - Slavia Sofia	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.24	Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Botev Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.11.24	CSKA Sofia - Krumovgrad	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Krumovgrad - Spartak Varna	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Krumovgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.07.24	Krumovgrad - Slavia Sofia	1:0
19.04.24	Krumovgrad - Slavia Sofia	2:0
27.10.23	Slavia Sofia - Krumovgrad	2:0
Club Friendly
04.07.23	Slavia Sofia - Krumovgrad	1:1

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