Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Krumovgrad		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.3	Watch
	2.35	2.87	3.1
	2.35	2.9	3.2
	2.38	2.99	3.37
	2.36	2.99	3.27	Watch
	2.35	3.08	3.17	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
39.6%

Draw
31.5%

Spartak Varna
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Spartak Varna aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	60%	10%

Krumovgrad - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (G) 25. Rabotov S. 5. Simic M. 24. Marin L. 7. Tsvetanov M. 13. Diego Raposo 44. Katsarov B. 10. Yusein S. 2. Ali D. 9. Rafael Furtado 70. Matheus Souza	76. Velichkov M. (G) 88. Dimitrov R. 44. Granchov A. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 14. Ivey R. 8. Lesniak F. 6. Tsvetkov A. 11. Mitev V. 39. Vutov A. 16. Ilic C. 29. Ahmedov A.
Substitutes
18. Daniel 22. Dost E. 11. Georgiev A. 99. Guermouche Y. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 19. Milev N. 14. Popov S. 91. Velev V. 77. Yusein O.	7. Berna 18. Ivanov D. 21. Konate P. 77. Marinov L. 17. Marinov T. 9. Rivollier F. 89. Videnov N. (G) 22. Yanchev A.
Coaches
Ribarski A.	Kirov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rafael Furtado 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Granchov A. ↓, Konate P. ↑,
56', Juric-Petrasilo M. 🟨,
58', Ali D. ↓, Velev V. ↑,
71', Rafael Furtado ↓, Guermouche Y. ↑,
72', Ilic C. ↓, Berna ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Ahmedov A. (Pen),
84', Berna 🟨,
88', Matheus Souza ↓, Milev N. ↑,
90+1', Ahmedov A. ↓, Rivollier F. ↑,
90+5', Dimitrov R. ↓, Marinov T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )).

Krumovgrad is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Spartak Varna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spartak Varna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.10.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Krumovgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTTWW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.10.24	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2 ✺
30.09.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Spartak Varna - Cherno More Varna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad	1:0

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