Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 29Date: 4 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Kukes Arena (Kukës)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Kukësi |
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Apolonia Fier |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.78 |
3.3 |
4.05 |
 Watch |
 |
1.97 |
3.35 |
3.26 |
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1.74 |
3.66 |
3.98 |
Watch |
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1.95 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
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1.86 |
3.37 |
4.04 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.13) |
3.4 ↑
(3.08) |
3.73 ↑
(3.16) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kukësi
48.9% | Draw
26.8% | Apolonia Fier
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kukësi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kukësi's performance.Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kukësi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Kukësi - Apolonia Fier Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Amagba M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Lamellari E. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 0, Abiodoun T. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 2.Kukësi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Apolonia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). Kukësi might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 1.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Kukësi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Kukesi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Albanian First Division | | | 23.11.25 | Apolonia Fier - Kukësi | 2:0 | | 23.08.25 | Kukësi - Apolonia Fier | 2:1 | | 27.03.25 | Kukësi - Apolonia Fier | 1:2 | | 11.09.24 | Kukësi - Apolonia Fier | 1:2 | | Albanian Cup | | | 02.02.23 | Kukësi - Apolonia Fier | 5:0 | | Albanian Super League | | | 13.05.21 | Apolonia Fier - Kukësi | 0:3 | | 12.03.21 | Kukësi - Apolonia Fier | 1:1 |
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