Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Kustošija		Međimurje Čakovec

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.85
	2.16	3.05	2.88
	2	3.45	3.15
	2.08	3.66	3.3
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.06	3.52	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
43.5%

Draw
26.9%

Međimurje Čakovec
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

20%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Međimurje Čakovec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kustošija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Međimurje Čakovec than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Međimurje Čakovec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kustošija - Međimurje Čakovec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kustošija could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kustošija will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
17.10.20	Dugopolje - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	Kustošija - Junak Sinj	3:2 ✺
30.09.20	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Kustošija - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0 ✺
20.09.20	Orijent - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTT
- NK Međimurje Čakovec
Croatian Prva NL
16.10.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Inter Zaprešić	3:2 ✺
03.10.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Croatia Zmijavci	2:1 ✺
30.09.20	Dugopolje - Međimurje Čakovec	4:1 ✺
26.09.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Junak Sinj	4:3 ✺
20.09.20	Osijek 2 - Međimurje Čakovec	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
05.10.19	Kustošija - Međimurje Čakovec	0:0
26.04.19	Međimurje Čakovec - Kustošija	1:1
20.10.18	Kustošija - Međimurje Čakovec	2:1

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