Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 29

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Haapsalu Linnastaadion (Haapsalu)


	Läänemaa Haapsalu		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
	7.7	6.1	1.22
	7.08	7.02	1.2
	7.03	5.46	1.31	Watch
	9.3	6.25	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.78 ↑ (6.02)	6.21 ↑ (5.18)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Läänemaa Haapsalu
11.7%

Draw
14.6%

Tabasalu
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

17.6%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

12.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Läänemaa Haapsalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tabasalu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Läänemaa Haapsalu than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Läänemaa Haapsalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tabasalu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tabasalu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Liiker S. (G) 31. Viispert A. 5. Pahkel A. 67. Lust A. 22. Kikas K. 16. Hohlatov A. (C) 37. Suder R. 18. Laherand R. 27. Sild G. A. 15. Veski S. 10. Konks M.	12. Ilves R. (G) 26. Vuks H. O. 16. Pelt K. 66. Salei S. (C) 42. Soopalu S. 10. Lindemann R. 4. Kokla J. 76. Altmets K. 22. Vilisoo E. 32. Anepaio A. 24. Sarapuu A.
Substitutes
8. Henrique P. 71. Sasse G. 29. Sepp R. 36. Unt R.	6. Anepaio R. 45. Masing M. 18. Mets D. 14. Moor A. 1. Sakkeus K. (G) 80. Taal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Altmets K. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
67', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, ⚽,
89', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Läänemaa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tabasalu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tabasalu is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Läänemaa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Läänemaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Läänemaa JK Haapsalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
18.09.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Läänemaa Haapsalu	7:0 ✺
13.09.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Kuressaare U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Narva Trans U21	1:5 ✺
18.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
18.09.25	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Tabasalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
21.08.25	Tabasalu - Kuressaare U21	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
21.07.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:0
14.06.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	1:1
26.04.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tabasalu	1:2

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