The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
L Aquila 40.4%
Draw 26.2%
Castelfidardo 33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
25.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for L Aquila have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Castelfidardo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
L Aquila - Castelfidardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by L Aquila have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, L Aquila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, L Aquila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
L Aquila
6
4
2
0
12:2
10
14
Last Results with these Odds
L Aquila - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.