Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	L Aquila		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.3	2.52
	2.43	3.43	2.57
	2.42	3.25	2.55
	2.45	3.33	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)	3.33 ↓ (3.33)	2.55 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

L Aquila
37.2%

Draw
27.2%

Ostia Mare
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

L Aquila - Ostia Mare Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. L Aquila (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Sparacello C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, L Aquila won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, L Aquila won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- L Aquila Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	L Aquila - Sammaurese	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Notaresco - L Aquila	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	L Aquila - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Teramo - L Aquila	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	L Aquila - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	Ostia Mare - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chieti - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ostia Mare - Sammaurese	7:0 ✺
09.11.25	UniPomezia - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ostia Mare - Teramo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
29.01.17	Ostia Mare - L Aquila	0:0
25.09.16	L Aquila - Ostia Mare	1:1

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