The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LA Galaxy II 39.4%
Draw 26.2%
Sacramento Republic 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
26.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
26.7%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LA Galaxy II's performance.
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
37.5%
37.5%
LA Galaxy II - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento Republic: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 12 (34.96%), has project points - 42, has currently - 36, has a small chance of playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 4 (54.16%), has project points - 54, has currently - 49, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (62%), has a chance of semis (27%), has a small chance of final (12%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has small quality16, small importance10, small match rating13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 1.
LA Galaxy II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Sacramento Republic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sacramento Republic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 18 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-24.
Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy II won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-13.
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