The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orange County SC 43.5%
Draw 24.7%
LA Galaxy II 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
24.6%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
23.6%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Orange County SC - LA Galaxy II Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Orange County SC will win (votes: 2 - 40%). LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Orange County SC has the most likely position - 13 (83.72%), has project points - 35, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 8 (15.55%), has project points - 44, has currently - 36, has a chance of playoffs (39%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality14, small importance18, small match rating16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
LA Galaxy II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 25 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 38-38.
Including matches at home between the teams Orange County SC won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-20.
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