Match Info

Serie B - Round 11

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reales Tamarindos (Portoviejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	LDU Portoviejo		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.82	2.92	Watch
	2.46	2.91	3.05
	2.59	2.58	3.32	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.42	2.83	2.99
	2.7	2.88	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.05)	2.79 ↓ (2.94)	2.97 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Portoviejo
36.4%

Draw
32.8%

Vinotinto
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

31.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LDU Portoviejo's performance.

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Portoviejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

LDU Portoviejo - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 🟥,
90+11', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

LDU Portoviejo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vinotinto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

LDU Portoviejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vinotinto	29	13	9	7	37:22	15	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Copa
19.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Libertad Loja	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.05.26	Cumbayá - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - LDU Portoviejo	3:0 ✺
30.04.26	Independiente Juniors - LDU Portoviejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTLL
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
14.05.26	Vinotinto - Cuenca Juniors	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
29.04.26	El Nacional - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Vinotinto - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWW

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