Match Info

Date: 6 October 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	LDU Portoviejo		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.23	3.05	3
	2.26	3.24	3.07
	2.2	3.16	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Portoviejo
41.3%

Draw
29.2%

Chacaritas
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

27.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chacaritas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.4%	18.7%	21.9%

LDU Portoviejo - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. LDU Portoviejo will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Chacaritas will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Portoviejo: 42.4% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

LDU Portoviejo is Relegated to

LDU Portoviejo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chacaritas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

LDU Portoviejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches LDU Portoviejo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams LDU Portoviejo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.09.21	Gualaceo - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
22.09.21	LDU Portoviejo - Atlético Santo Domingo	3:3 ✺
14.09.21	Búhos ULVR - LDU Portoviejo	2:0 ✺
08.09.21	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
31.08.21	El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLT
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
28.09.21	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:2 ✺
22.09.21	Chacaritas - Búhos ULVR	4:1 ✺
15.09.21	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
08.09.21	Chacaritas - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
01.09.21	Gualaceo - Chacaritas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
11.08.21	Chacaritas - LDU Portoviejo	1:0
15.06.21	LDU Portoviejo - Chacaritas	0:0
06.05.21	Chacaritas - LDU Portoviejo	2:2

LDU Portoviejo - Chacaritas