Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	Cumbayá		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.75	7.59
	1.48	3.85	7.22	Watch
	1.34	4.4	8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.65)	4.33 ↑ (4.14)	7.6 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
66.5%

Draw
21.3%

Chacaritas
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.5%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cumbayá's performance.

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chacaritas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cumbayá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chacaritas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cumbayá - Chacaritas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cumbayá is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	4:1 ✺
26.08.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTLT
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.10.25	Chacaritas - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
18.09.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
02.09.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	4:1
10.08.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	1:3
29.05.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	1:1
Ecuadorian Copa
02.07.22	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	0:2
Ecuadorian Serie B
28.09.21	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:2
03.08.21	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	0:1
20.06.21	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:0

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