Match Info

Date: 31 July 2022, Sunday


	Chacaritas		El Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.3	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.3
	2.26	2.75	3.3
	2.36	2.85	3.44
	2.31	2.81	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.11)	2.8 ↓ (3.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
40.2%

Draw
32.5%

El Nacional
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

29.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacaritas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Chacaritas - El Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 1.

Chacaritas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches El Nacional is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chacaritas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacaritas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.07.22	Búhos ULVR - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
20.07.22	Chacaritas - Manta	0:1 ✺
14.07.22	Atlético Santo Domingo - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
06.07.22	Chacaritas - América de Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.07.22	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTLL
- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.07.22	El Nacional - Independiente Juniors	2:1 ✺
22.07.22	Imbabura - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
14.07.22	Libertad Loja - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
05.07.22	El Nacional - Atlético Santo Domingo	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.07.22	El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
17.05.22	El Nacional - Chacaritas	2:0
27.03.22	Chacaritas - El Nacional	3:2
08.09.21	Chacaritas - El Nacional	1:1
18.07.21	El Nacional - Chacaritas	1:0
26.05.21	Chacaritas - El Nacional	0:1
25.03.21	El Nacional - Chacaritas	3:0

Chacaritas - El Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide