Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	La Calzada		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.9	1.43
	5.75	3.5	1.45
	6	3.85	1.42
	5.99	3.53	1.42
	6.25	3.8	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (5.99)	3.72 ↑ (3.53)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Calzada
14.7%

Draw
23.9%

Alfaro
61.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.5%

24.5%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

14%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Calzada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

La Calzada - Alfaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches La Calzada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alfaro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alfaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alfaro is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.11.21	La Calzada - Arnedo	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Berceo - La Calzada	1:2 ✺
24.10.21	La Calzada - Varea	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Haro Deportivo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	La Calzada - Oyonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLL
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.11.21	Alfaro - River Ebro	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Anguiano - Alfaro	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Alfaro - Casalarreina	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Vianés - Alfaro	1:3 ✺
10.10.21	Yagüe - Alfaro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

La Calzada - Alfaro

Match Info

Current Win Probability

La Calzada - Alfaro Predictions

Preview

Form

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