The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
La Calzada 14.7%
Draw 23.9%
Alfaro 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.5%
24.5%
61%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
14%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Calzada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-26.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
La Calzada - Alfaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Recent matches La Calzada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alfaro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Alfaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
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