Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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La Calzada |
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Villegas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.72 |
3.5 |
3.95 |
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1.73 |
3.56 |
4.26 |
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1.73 |
3.64 |
4.27 |
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1.73 |
3.4 |
4 |
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1.69 |
3.45 |
4.59 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.89) |
3.51 ↑ (3.28) |
4.21 ↑ (3.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Calzada 52.7% | Draw 25.8% | Villegas 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)La Calzada - Villegas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Soto D. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 0, Soto D. ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 0, Padilla C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).The current form of both teams is below expectations.Villegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, La Calzada is the team to beat.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | CDFC Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;