Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	La Fiorita		Fiorentino

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.5	9.5
	1.28	4.65	8.5	Watch
	1.26	4.93	7.75
	1.31	4.88	8.4	Watch
	1.29	4.4	9
	1.25	4.95	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	4.72 ↓ (4.9)	8.86 ↑ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Fiorita
70.7%

Draw
19.1%

Fiorentino
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.6%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.8%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

La Fiorita - Fiorentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Barretta A. ⚽, Cicarelli D. (A),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, La Fiorita is the clear favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:9. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, La Fiorita won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Fiorita
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.04.26	Fiorentino - La Fiorita	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	La Fiorita - Cosmos	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Domagnano - La Fiorita	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	La Fiorita - San Giovanni	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tre Fiori - La Fiorita	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWT
- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.04.26	Fiorentino - La Fiorita	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Murata - Fiorentino	1:4 ✺
11.04.26	Fiorentino - Faetano	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	San Marino Academy U22 - Fiorentino	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.04.26	Fiorentino - La Fiorita	1:2
11.02.26	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	0:1
06.04.25	Fiorentino - La Fiorita	0:3
08.12.24	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	2:1
13.03.24	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	2:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
06.12.23	Fiorentino - La Fiorita	1:4
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
03.12.23	Fiorentino - La Fiorita	1:3

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