Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	San Giovanni		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.05	2.62
	2.56	3.13	2.52
	2.49	3.42	2.54
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.53	3.13	2.52
	2.57	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.39)	2.53 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Giovanni
35.7%

Draw
28.8%

AC Libertas
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Giovanni's form might have worsened.

AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Giovanni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AC Libertas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Giovanni - AC Libertas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Morelli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, Zanni M. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

San Giovanni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Giovanni has had a series of away games.

San Giovanni might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
24.01.26	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	San Giovanni - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
18.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Domagnano - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	San Marino Academy U22 - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLTTT
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
24.01.26	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	AC Libertas - Domagnano	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	San Marino Academy U22 - AC Libertas	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Tre Penne - AC Libertas	5:0 ✺
13.12.25	AC Libertas - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0
12.04.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	2:3
15.12.24	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	2:1
03.03.24	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	2:1
12.11.23	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:1
22.04.23	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	1:3
14.01.23	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0

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