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Current Win Probability
La Luz 43.1%
Draw 31.1%
Tacuarembó 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
32.2%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
32.8%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
La Luz - Tacuarembó Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for La Luz: 76.1% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Luz (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Vega D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 1.
La Luz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tacuarembó has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, La Luz is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, La Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
La Luz
21
7
6
8
19:24
-5
27
13
Tacuarembo
21
6
6
9
16:23
-7
24
Last Results with these Odds
Tacuarembó - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.52%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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