Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 6Date: 14 June 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Atenas de San Carlos |
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La Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.50 |
2.85 |
2.65 |
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 |
2.52 |
2.88 |
2.72 |
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 |
2.48 |
2.96 |
2.75 |
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2.62 |
2.94 |
2.88 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
2.75 |
2.8 |
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2.5 |
2.88 |
2.74 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↓ (2.62) |
2.88 ↑ (2.75) |
2.76 ↓ (2.81) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atenas de San Carlos 35.8% | Draw 31.4% | La Luz 32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽,
- 13', 2 - 0, Prieto A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 66', 3 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽,
- 84', 4 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽,
- 90', 🟥,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Atenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 40 |
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| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 27 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
La Luz - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 04.04.26 | La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos | 2:1 | | 13.09.25 | Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz | 2:3 | | 24.06.25 | La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos | 1:1 | | 02.11.24 | Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz | 1:1 | | 14.07.24 | La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos | 1:1 | | 11.09.22 | Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz | 1:2 | | 17.06.22 | La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos | 0:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;