Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	La Nucía		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.87	2.37
	2.9	2.85	2.3
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.95	2.9	2.33
	3.01	3.01	2.5
	2.7	2.88	2.6
	2.91	3	2.4
	3	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.41 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
31.5%

Draw
30.9%

Real Murcia
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

32.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

La Nucía - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams La Nucía won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.10.22	La Nucía - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Cornellà - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	La Nucía - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Castellón - La Nucía	4:1 ✺
02.10.22	La Nucía - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTLT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.10.22	Real Murcia - Osasuna B	1:4 ✺
23.10.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Real Murcia - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
01.10.22	Real Murcia - SD Logroñés	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.03.22	Real Murcia - La Nucía	1:2
07.11.21	La Nucía - Real Murcia	1:2

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