Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	La Nucía		Torrellano

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.45
	1.79	3.28	4.45
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	1.78	3.16	4.5
	1.8	3.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)	3.15 ↑ (3.11)	4.43 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
50.6%

Draw
28.9%

Torrellano
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

29.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

21.8%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Torrellano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Nucía that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrellano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

La Nucía - Torrellano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Castillo Ortega L. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Gorxa J. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Gorxa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).

Recent performances by La Nucía have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torrellano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

La Nucía may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, La Nucía is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, La Nucía won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, La Nucía won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Torrellano	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
20.12.25	Levante B - La Nucía	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules B - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	La Nucía - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Ontinyent 1931 - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	La Nucía - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLTL
- AC Torrellano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.12.25	Torrellano - Crevillente Deportivo	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Soneja - Torrellano	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Torrellano - Buñol	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Utiel - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Torrellano - Vall de Uxó	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.02.25	Torrellano - La Nucía	0:0
06.10.24	La Nucía - Torrellano	0:0

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