Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	La Nucía		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.3	2.87	2.1
	3.35	2.9	2.15
	3.05	2.9	2.19
	3.64	2.93	2.23
	3.48	3.08	2.16
	3.3	3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	2.94 ↑ (2.8)	2.16 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
27.1%

Draw
30.8%

Castellón
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

32.8%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

31.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

La Nucía - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Nucía will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Castellón will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

La Nucía is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castellón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams La Nucía won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.23	Atlético Baleares - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	La Nucía - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Barcelona B - La Nucía	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	La Nucía - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.23	La Nucía - Valencia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLTL
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.23	Castellón - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Osasuna B - Castellón	1:3 ✺
15.01.23	Castellón - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Real Unión de Irun - Castellón	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.10.22	Castellón - La Nucía	4:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.01.20	Castellón - La Nucía	3:0
08.09.19	La Nucía - Castellón	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.04.18	La Nucía - Castellón	2:0
06.12.17	Castellón - La Nucía	1:0

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