Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.66	3.1	5.25
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.69	3.25	4.8
	1.72	3.26	5.64
	1.74	3.14	5.5
	1.7	3.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.6)	3.22 ↑ (2.7)	5.11 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
53.8%

Draw
28.3%

La Nucía
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Baleares's performance.

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Nucía might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Baleares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Nucía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Baleares - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently La Nucía have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético Baleares is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.01.23	UD Logroñés - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Baleares	1:3 ✺
18.12.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWLW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.01.23	La Nucía - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Barcelona B - La Nucía	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	La Nucía - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.23	La Nucía - Valencia	0:3 ✺
22.12.22	La Nucía - Las Palmas	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	La Nucía - Atlético Baleares	1:1

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