Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday


	Valencia		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.55
	1.67	4	4
	1.66	3.95	4.09
	1.62	3.75	4.4
	1.64	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.93)	3.98 ↑ (3.6)	4.27 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
55.4%

Draw
23.1%

AZ Alkmaar
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	16.7%	22.2%

Valencia - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). AZ will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Valencia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AZ is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Valencia have a series of home games.

Valencia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Valencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Valencia - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
09.12.22	Valencia - Clermont	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.22	Valencia - Betis	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Real Sociedad - Valencia	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Valencia - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
12.11.22	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.11.22	AZ Alkmaar - Dnipro-1	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
30.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.10.22	Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.04.12	Valencia - AZ Alkmaar	4:0

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