Match Info

BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - ROUND 7

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Lagarto		Carmópolis

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.6	3.6	5	Watch
	1.61	3.35	5.14
	1.6	3.52	5.36
	1.6	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.43)	3.51 ↓ (3.9)	5.06 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
56.4%

Draw
25.7%

Carmópolis
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagarto's form might have worsened.

Carmópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carmópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Lagarto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carmópolis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lagarto is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lagarto to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
10.02.24	Olimpico EC - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lagarto - Dorense	3:1 ✺
31.01.24	Sergipe - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Lagarto - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Lagarto - Falcon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWT
- AD Carmópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
10.02.24	Carmópolis - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Carmópolis - Olimpico EC	0:0 ✺
01.02.24	América de Propriá - Carmópolis	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Confiança - Carmópolis	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Carmópolis - Atlético Gloriense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLLW

Lagarto - Carmópolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide